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Abdallah, M, El-Rayes, K and Liu, L (2016) Minimizing Upgrade Cost to Achieve LEED Certification for Existing Buildings. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 142(02).

Ahmed, M O, El-adaway, I H, Coatney, K T and Eid, M S (2016) Construction Bidding and the Winner’s Curse: Game Theory Approach. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 142(02).

Aljassmi, H, Han, S and Davis, S (2016) Analysis of the Complex Mechanisms of Defect Generation in Construction Projects. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 142(02).

AlMaian, R Y, Needy, K L, Walsh, K D and Alves, T d C L (2016) A qualitative data analysis for supplier quality-management practices for engineer-procure-construct projects. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 142(02), 04015061.

Arroyo, P, Tommelein, I D and Ballard, G (2016) Selecting Globally Sustainable Materials: A Case Study Using Choosing by Advantages. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 142(02).

Austin, R B, Pishdad-Bozorgi, P and de la Garza, J M (2016) Identifying and Prioritizing Best Practices to Achieve Flash Track Projects. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 142(02).

Baqerin, M H, Shafahi, Y and Kashani, H (2016) Application of Weibull Analysis to Evaluate and Forecast Schedule Performance in Repetitive Projects. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 142(02).

  • Type: Journal Article
  • Keywords: Repetitive projects; Weibull analysis; Earned value method; Quantitative methods;
  • ISBN/ISSN: 0733-9364
  • URL: https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)CO.1943-7862.0001040
  • Abstract:
    Construction managers regularly monitor projects to ensure that the project performance is under control. The earned value method (EVM) is a widely used tool to forecast project cost and time at completion. However, the effectiveness of the EVM in forecasting schedule performance has been questioned particularly because of its inability to address the associated uncertainties and poor performance in predicting project duration. The objective of this study is to present an activity-based model to conduct a probabilistic assessment and estimation of schedule performance in repetitive construction projects. This model, called the Weibull evaluation and forecasting model (WEFM), emphasizes the recurring nature of major activities in repetitive projects to evaluate and forecast schedule performance. WEFM estimates activity completion time and its upper and lower bounds of possibility and presents these estimates in the form of prediction graphs. Moreover, it provides reliability graphs that demonstrate the probability of achieving a target completion time. The major contribution of this study is to utilize capabilities of the Weibull distribution in probabilistic evaluation and forecasting of schedule performance in repetitive projects. A numerical example, which demonstrates application of WEFM on four separate housing projects, underscores its adaptive nature and its advantages over the existing methods.

Chen, Q, Jin, Z, Xia, B, Wu, P and Skitmore, M (2016) Time and Cost Performance of Design–Build Projects. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 142(02).

Chiang, Y H, Li, V J, Zhou, L, Wong, F and Lam, P (2016) Evaluating Sustainable Building-Maintenance Projects: Balancing Economic, Social, and Environmental Impacts in the Case of Hong Kong. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 142(02).

Choi, K, Lee, H W, Mao, Z, Lavy, S and Ryoo, B Y (2016) Environmental, Economic, and Social Implications of Highway Concrete Rehabilitation Alternatives. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 142(02).

Dang, T and Bargstädt, H (2016) 4D Relationships: The Missing Link in 4D Scheduling. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 142(02).

De Marco, A, Rafele, C and Thaheem, M J (2016) Dynamic Management of Risk Contingency in Complex Design-Build Projects. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 142(02).

Hasan, A and Jha, K N (2016) Acceptance of the Incentive/Disincentive Contracting Strategy in Developing Construction Markets: Empirical Study from India. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 142(02).

He, W, Tang, W, Wei, Y, Duffield, C F and Lei, Z (2016) Evaluation of Cooperation during Project Delivery: Empirical Study on the Hydropower Industry in Southwest China. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 142(02).

Hyari, K H (2016) Handling Unbalanced Bidding in Construction Projects: Prevention Rather Than Detection. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 142(02).

Jarkas, A M (2016) Effect of Buildability on Labor Productivity: A Practical Quantification Approach. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 142(02).

Jiang, H, Lin, P and Qiang, M (2016) Public-Opinion Sentiment Analysis for Large Hydro Projects. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 142(02).

Jin, R, Han, S, Hyun, C and Cha, Y (2016) Application of Case-Based Reasoning for Estimating Preliminary Duration of Building Projects. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 142(02).

Kim, T, Lee, H W and Hong, S (2016) Value Engineering for Roadway Expansion Project over Deep Thick Soft Soils. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 142(02).

Leung, M, Yu, J and Chong, M L A (2016) Effects of Stress and Commitment on the Performance of Construction Estimation Participants in Hong Kong. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 142(02).

Lim, T, Park, S, Lee, H and Lee, D (2016) Artificial Neural Network–Based Slip-Trip Classifier Using Smart Sensor for Construction Workplace. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 142(02).

Lines, B C, Sullivan, K T and Wiezel, A (2016) Support for Organizational Change: Change-Readiness Outcomes among AEC Project Teams. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 142(02).

Liu, Y and Yeh, I (2016) Building Valuation Model of Enterprise Values for Construction Enterprise with Quantile Neural Networks. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 142(02).

Oh, E H, Naderpajouh, N, Hastak, M and Gokhale, S (2016) Integration of the Construction Knowledge and Expertise in Front-End Planning. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 142(02).

Rafiei, M H and Adeli, H (2016) A Novel Machine Learning Model for Estimation of Sale Prices of Real Estate Units. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 142(02).

Said, H (2016) Modeling and Likelihood Prediction of Prefabrication Feasibility for Electrical Construction Firms. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 142(02).

Seyis, S, Ergen, E and Pizzi, E (2016) Identification of Waste Types and Their Root Causes in Green-Building Project Delivery Process. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 142(02).

Shokri, S, Ahn, S, Lee, S, Haas, C T and Haas, R C G (2016) Current Status of Interface Management in Construction: Drivers and Effects of Systematic Interface Management. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 142(02).

Shokri, S, Haas, C T, G. Haas, R C and Lee, S H (2016) Interface-Management Process for Managing Risks in Complex Capital Projects. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 142(02).

Tymvios, N and Gambatese, J A (2016) Perceptions about Design for Construction Worker Safety: Viewpoints from Contractors, Designers, and University Facility Owners. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 142(02).